Critical Material Recovery 2025-2045: Technologies, Markets, Players

Global secondary source critical material recovery market analysis including technologies, sources, economics, 20-year recovery forecasts for critical material recovery from electric vehicles, automotives, electronic waste, green hydrogen.

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IDTechEx forecasts that by 2045, approximately 3.3 million tonnes of critical materials will be recovered from secondary sources, equivalent to over US$110B in valuable materials. Secondary raw materials, including end-of-life equipment, automotive vehicles, electric vehicles, e-waste and waste scrap, represent a rapidly emerging source of valuable critical materials. This report characterizes the secondary source critical material recovery markets, key technologies, and players. The latest technical innovations are explored across four key critical material segments, including rare-earth elements, Li-ion battery technology metals, semiconductors, and platinum group metals. IDTechEx identifies a growing value opportunity, with the critical material recovery market forecast to grow at a CAGR of 12.7% from 2025-2045.
 
Critical Material Recovery Forecast
Annual value of critical material recovery market from 2025-2045. Source: IDTechEx.
 
Critical material recovery from secondary sources looks to alleviate growing global material supply risks and their impact on regional economies. Critical materials, such as lithium, nickel, cobalt, rare-earths elements, platinum group metals, silicon and other semiconductors underpin all modern technology. However, the high geographical localization of critical material market supply chains - both primary critical mineral deposits and processing steps - presents major risks to many global economies. These factors are creating a strong market pull for critical material recovery technology that utilizes secondary raw materials as an alternative to primary sources.
 
Fortunately, secondary raw materials are compelling sources for critical material recovery. Global megatrends in mass digitalization across consumer, transport, energy, communication, and industrial sectors have consolidated large volumes of critical materials into devices and equipment. The result of this is that content of critical materials in anthropogenically derived sources is often higher than in primary mineral deposits. As the volume of critical material containing equipment reaching end-of-life increases year-on-year, the secondary source stream for critical material recovery becomes ever more valuable. This report evaluates the critical material market, analyzing the content of key secondary sources and forecasting the volume of secondary raw materials recoverable by 2045.
 
Critical material extraction and recovery technologies and key critical material market segments covered in the report. Source: IDTechEx.
 
Critical material recovery technologies are largely ready to go, it is just a question of how easily they may be repurposed for secondary material sources. Critical material extraction and recovery technologies pioneered for primary mineral processing are scalable with high recovery efficiency, making them well-positioned for deployment in secondary source streams. A major challenge in deployment remains adapting the processes to the distinct composition of secondary materials, which contain complex mixtures of critical materials with plastics, adhesives, films, low value metals and inorganic material. This report evaluates 13 critical material extraction and recovery technologies, providing case studies on their commercial application in secondary sources.
 
Looking forward, critical platinum group metal (PGM) recovery from secondary sources will dominate market value share in 2025, but Li-ion battery technology metal and rare-earth element markets will emerge rapidly thereafter. The high market value of palladium, platinum, and rhodium and their high density in automotive scrap has defined the established PGM secondary source market for decades. However, growing consolidation of critical materials in decarbonized energy and transport technologies will drive a significant value transfer into their associated applications. As large volumes of electric vehicles reach their end-of-life by 2045, lithium, nickel, cobalt, and manganese from batteries and rare-earth elements from drive motor magnets will emerge to represent the overwhelming majority of recoverable value.
 
This report leverages IDTechEx's extensive cross-discipline expertise in critical advanced materials, sustainability, and recycling technologies. The analyst team builds on decades of experience covering emerging technology markets dependent on critical materials, including batteries, energy storage, electric vehicles, the hydrogen economy, and semiconductors.
 
This report provides market intelligence about critical material recovery technologies for four key secondary source segments. The report characterizes globally identified emerging critical materials and the associated emerging secondary source recovery opportunities. This includes:
 
A review of the context and technology behind critical material recovery from secondary sources:
  • History and context for each extraction and recovery technology with respect to both primary and secondary source critical materials.
  • General overview of important technologies emerging for secondary source critical material recovery.
  • Critical technical evaluation, benchmarking, and comparison throughout.
  • 15 SWOT analyses of critical material extraction and recovery technologies, including hydrometallurgy, pyrometallurgy, ionic liquids, solvent extraction, ion exchange, and direct recycling technologies.
  • Discussion on the evolving value proposition presented by key critical material recovery technologies for secondary sources.
 
Full market characterization of critical material recovery technology in key secondary source segments:
  • Extensive characterization of critical material market segments, including rare-earth elements, lithium-ion battery technology metals, semiconductors and e-waste market, and platinum group metals.
  • Identification of key growth opportunities within secondary source markets for critical material recovery.
  • Key player and business model analysis.
  • Evaluation and market mapping of value/supply chains.
  • Critical market evaluation using case studies featuring commercial successes and shortcomings for each critical material technology segment.
 
Market analysis throughout:
  • Reviews of critical material recovery players throughout each key sector, including over 20 company profiles.
  • Market forecasts from 2025-2045 for four secondary source critical material recovery technology areas, including full narrative, price assumptions, limitations, and methodologies for each.
 
Key aspects:
This report provides the following information:
 
Technology trends & key player analysis:
  • Updates from recent industry conferences (including Materials Research Exchange 2024, Battery Show 2023 (North America & Europe), Hydrogen Technology Conference & Expo 2023 (North America & Europe))
  • Background, description of the recovery technology, analysis of the business model and market, and SWOT and IDTechEx analysis.
  • Numerous case studies for each secondary source and recovery technology.
  • Identification of the players and value chains in each technical area, with supplier directories.
  • Discussion of recent technical innovations and their commercial implications.
 
Market Forecasts & Analysis:
  • 20-year critical material recovery market forecasts for critical material value, segmented by material, technology segment, and secondary source.
  • 20-year critical material recovery market forecasts for critical material weight for each secondary source market segment.
Report MetricsDetails
CAGRThe global secondary source critical material recovery market will reach a value of US$110.6B by 2045 with a CAGR of 12.7%.
Forecast Period2025 - 2045
Forecast UnitsWeight (ktonnes), Value (USD$ billions)
Segments CoveredCritical material extraction and recovery technologies from secondary sources (e.g., end-of-life devices, scrap), rare-earth elements (including neodymium, praseodymium, terbium, dysprosium) lithium-ion battery technology metals (lithium, nickel, manganese, cobalt), semiconductors (eg., silicon, indium, germanium, tellurium, gallium and e-waste), platinum group metals (including palladium, platinum, rhodium, iridium).
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1.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1.What are critical materials
1.2.The number of critical materials is increasing globally
1.3.Critical material recovery from primary and secondary sources
1.4.Technologies for critical material recovery from secondary sources
1.5.Established and emerging secondary sources for critical material recovery
1.6.Business models of secondary source critical material recovery
1.7.20-year overall global recovered critical materials forecast, annual value forecast, 2025-2045
1.8.Electrification driving transfer of critical material recovery value from platinum group metals to Li-ion battery technology metals
1.9.Critical material extraction technology overview
1.10.Technology readiness evaluation of critical material extraction techniques
1.11.Critical material extraction methods evaluated by key performance metrics
1.12.Evolution of the value proposition for critical material extraction technologies
1.13.Critical material recovery technology overview
1.14.Critical metal recovery technologies evaluated and compared
1.15.Critical material recovery technologies from secondary materials - Key findings
1.16.Critical rare-earth element recovery from secondary sources - Key conclusions
1.17.Rare-earth magnet market outlook
1.18.Critical Li-ion battery technology metal recovery - Key conclusions
1.19.Li-ion battery recycling technology outlook
1.20.Critical semiconductor materials: Rising demand and supply chain challenges
1.21.Critical semiconductor material recovery from secondary sources - Key conclusions
1.22.Critical platinum group metal recovery from secondary sources - Key conclusions
1.23.Access More With an IDTechEx Subscription
2.MARKET FORECASTS
2.1.Forecasting methodology
2.2.Discontinuity in secondary source availability from renewable energy applications
2.3.Critical Li-ion battery metal price assumptions
2.4.Critical platinum group metal price assumptions
2.5.20-year overall global recovered critical materials forecast, annual weight forecast, 2025-2045
2.6.20-year overall global recovered critical materials forecast, annual weight forecast, excluding from Li-ion batteries, 2025-2045
2.7.20-year overall global recovered critical materials forecast by metal, annual weight forecast, 2025-2045
2.8.20-year overall global recovered critical materials forecast by element, annual weight forecast, excluding Li-ion battery metals, 2025-2045
2.9.Global recovered critical materials, annual weight forecast, by element (ktonnes), 2025-2045 - Summary
2.10.20-year overall global recovered critical materials forecast, annual value forecast, 2025-2045
2.11.20-year overall global recovered critical materials forecast, annual value forecast, excluding from Li-ion batteries, 2025-2045
2.12.Electrification driving transfer of critical material recovery value from platinum group metals to Li-ion battery metals
2.13.20-year global recovered critical rare-earth element forecast, annual weight forecast, 2025-2045
2.14.20-year global recovered critical rare-earth element forecast, segmented by secondary source, annual weight proportion forecast, 2025-2045
2.15.20-year global recovered critical rare-earth element forecast, annual value forecast, 2025-2045
2.16.20-year global recovered critical materials from Li-ion batteries, annual weight forecast, 2025-2045
2.17.20-year global recovered critical materials from Li-ion batteries, annual value forecast, 2025-2045
2.18.20-year global recovered critical semiconductor material forecast, annual weight forecast, 2025-2045
2.19.20-year global recovered critical semiconductor material forecast, annual weight forecast, excluding silicon, 2025-2045
2.20.20-year global recovered critical semiconductor material forecast, annual value forecast, 2025-2045
2.21.20-year global recovered critical platinum group metal forecast, annual weight forecast, 2025-2045
2.22.20-year global recovered critical platinum group metal forecast, segmented by application market, annual weight forecast, 2025-2045
2.23.20-year global recovered critical platinum group forecast, annual value forecast, 2025-2045
3.INTRODUCTION
3.1.What are critical materials
3.2.The number of critical materials is increasing globally
3.3.Critical material recovery from primary and secondary sources
3.4.Established critical material recovery from primary sources
3.5.How critical materials are recovered from secondary sources
3.6.Technologies for critical material recovery from secondary sources
3.7.Lessons from the established critical platinum group metal recovery market
3.8.Market drivers for critical material recovery from secondary sources
3.9.Established and emerging secondary sources for critical material recovery
3.10.Business models of secondary source critical material recovery
3.11.Enabling technological and commercial innovation required to unlock critical material recovery
3.12.Critical material recovery report content and outline
4.CRITICAL MATERIAL EXTRACTION TECHNOLOGY FROM SECONDARY SOURCES
4.1.1.Critical material extraction technology from secondary sources - Chapter overview
4.1.2.Critical material extraction: Introduction and technology overview
4.1.3.Critical material extraction: Extraction technologies
4.2.Critical material extraction technologies
4.2.1.Hydrometallurgical extraction
4.2.2.Lixiviants used in hydrometallurgical metal extraction from secondary material sources
4.2.3.SWOT analysis of hydrometallurgical extraction of critical material
4.2.4.Pyrometallurgical extraction: Introduction
4.2.5.Pyrometallurgical extraction: Methods
4.2.6.SWOT analysis of pyrometallurgical extraction of critical materials
4.2.7.Biometallurgy: Introduction
4.2.8.Bioleaching processes and their applicability to critical materials
4.2.9.Biometallurgy: Areas of development
4.2.10.SWOT analysis of biometallurgy for critical material extraction
4.2.11.Ionic liquids and deep eutectic solvents
4.2.12.Challenges facing commercialisation of ionic liquid and deep eutectic solvent technologies
4.2.13.SWOT analysis of ionic liquids and deep eutectic solvents for critical material extraction
4.2.14.Electroleaching extraction
4.2.15.SWOT analysis of electrochemical leaching for critical material extraction
4.2.16.Supercritical fluid extraction
4.2.17.SWOT analysis of supercritical fluid extraction technology
4.3.Summary and conclusions
4.3.1.Summary of critical material extraction from secondary sources
4.3.2.Technology readiness evaluation of critical material extraction techniques
4.3.3.Critical material extraction technologies and state of adoption
4.3.4.Critical material extraction methods evaluated by key metric
4.3.5.Evolution of the value proposition for critical material extraction technologies
5.CRITICAL MATERIAL RECOVERY TECHNOLOGY FROM SECONDARY SOURCES
5.1.1.Critical material recovery technology from secondary sources - Chapter overview
5.1.2.Critical material recovery: Introduction and process overview
5.1.3.Critical metal recovery: Recovery technologies
5.2.Recovery technologies
5.2.1.Critical material recovery by solvent extraction
5.2.2.Rare-earth element recovery by solvent extraction
5.2.3.Critical metal recovery from Li-ion batteries, fuel cells and electrolysers with solvent extraction and associated challenges
5.2.4.SWOT analysis of solvent extraction recovery technology
5.2.5.Ion exchange recovery
5.2.6.Critical metal extraction using ion exchange resins
5.2.7.SWOT analysis of ion exchange resin recovery technology
5.2.8.Ionic liquid (IL) and deep eutectic solvent (DES) recovery
5.2.9.Coupling ionic liquid / deep eutectic solvent recovery with electrodeposition
5.2.10.Challenges facing ionic liquid and deep eutectic solvent recovery technology
5.2.11.SWOT analysis of ionic liquids and deep eutectic solvents for critical material recovery
5.2.12.Critical metal recovery by precipitation
5.2.13.Selective coagulation and flocculation to enhance precipitation efficiency
5.2.14.SWOT analysis of precipitation for critical material recovery
5.2.15.Critical metal recovery using biosorption
5.2.16.SWOT analysis of biosorption for critical material recovery
5.2.17.Critical metal recovery by electrowinning
5.2.18.Nickel and cobalt recovery from Li-ion batteries and consumer electronics waste using electrowinning
5.2.19.Rare-earth oxide (REO) processing using molten salt electrolysis
5.2.20.Emerging electrowinning systems for critical material recovery and areas for innovation
5.2.21.SWOT analysis of electrowinning for critical material recovery
5.2.22.Direct recovery approaches: Rare-earth magnet recycling by hydrogen decrepitation
5.2.23.Direct recovery approaches: Direct recycling of Li-ion battery cathodes by sintering
5.2.24.SWOT analysis of direct critical material recovery technology
5.3.Summary and Conclusions
5.3.1.Critical metal recovery technologies evaluated and compared
5.3.2.Summary of critical material recovery technologies from secondary sources
5.3.3.Technology readiness of critical material recovery technologies by secondary material sources
5.3.4.Evolving requirements of critical material recovery technologies
6.CRITICAL RARE-EARTH ELEMENT RECOVERY
6.1.1.Rare-Earth Element Recovery - Chapter overview
6.1.2.Critical rare-earth elements (REEs): Introduction
6.1.3.Critical rare-earth elements (REEs): Product markets and applications
6.1.4.Critical rare-earth elements (REEs): Geographic concentration of primary material supply chain
6.1.5.Rare-earth element demand concentrating in magnet applications
6.1.6.Primary and secondary material streams for rare-earth element recovery
6.1.7.Rare-earth element content in secondary material sources
6.2.Rare-earth element recovery technologies
6.2.1.Overview of critical rare-earth element recovery technologies
6.2.2.Long-loop and short-loop rare-earth recovery methods
6.2.3.Short-loop rare-earth magnet recycling by hydrogen decrepitation
6.2.4.Short-loop rare-earth magnet recycling by powder metallurgy
6.2.5.SWOT analysis of short-loop rare-earth magnet recovery
6.2.6.Long-loop magnet recycling
6.2.7.Long-loop rare-earth magnet recycling: Recovery technologies
6.2.8.Long-loop magnet recovery using solvent extraction
6.2.9.Rare-earth element recovery using ion exchange resin chromatography
6.2.10.Rare-earth oxide (REO) processing using electrolysis and metallothermic processing
6.2.11.SWOT analysis of long-loop rare-earth element recovery
6.2.12.Short-loop and long-loop rare-earth element recovery: Summary and key players
6.3.Rare-earth element recovery markets
6.3.1.Emerging rare-earth magnet recycling value chain
6.3.2.Global rare-earth magnet key players
6.3.3.Key partnerships driving rare-earth element recovery
6.3.4.Short-loop magnet recycling technologies process more NdFeB magnets per year than long-loop technologies
6.3.5.Emerging REE recovery technologies face underutilization until secondary source streams are defined
6.3.6.Timeline for availability of secondary source materials streams unclear
6.3.7.Pre-processing challenges for rare-earth magnet recycling from electric rotors
6.3.8.Barriers to growth and areas requiring development for rare-earth element recovery growth to be realized
6.4.Summary and outlook
6.4.1.Rare-earth magnet recovery technology summary and outlook
6.4.2.Technology readiness of REE recovery technologies
6.4.3.Rare-earth magnet market summary and outlook
6.4.4.Innovation areas for rare-earth magnet recycling
6.4.5.Rare-earth magnet recycling value chain
7.CRITICAL LI-ION BATTERY TECHNOLOGY METAL RECOVERY
7.1.1.Critical Li-ion battery technology metal recovery - Chapter overview
7.1.2.Critical Li-ion battery metals: Introduction
7.1.3.Drivers for recycling Li-ion batteries
7.2.Li-ion battery metal recovery technologies
7.2.1.Lithium-ion battery recycling approaches overview
7.2.2.Pyrometallurgical recycling
7.2.3.Hydrometallurgical recycling
7.2.4.Recycling example via hydrometallurgy
7.2.5.Direct recycling
7.2.6.Recycling techniques compared
7.3.Li-ion battery metal recovery markets
7.3.1.EV battery recycling value chain
7.3.2.When will Li-ion batteries be recycled?
7.3.3.Is recycling Li-ion batteries economical?
7.3.4.Economic analysis of Li-ion battery recycling
7.3.5.Impact of cathode chemistries on recycling economics
7.3.6.Impact of metal prices on recycling economics
7.3.7.Recycling regulations and policies
7.3.8.Recycling policies and regulations map
7.3.9.Sector involvement
7.3.10.Recycling techniques and commercial activity
7.3.11.Global recycling future capacity expansions
7.4.Summary and outlook
7.4.1.Li-ion battery circular economy
7.4.2.Li-ion battery materials and market dynamics
7.4.3.Pack-level or module-level shredding in mechanical recycling?
7.4.4.Li-ion battery recycling technology outlook
7.4.5.Closed-loop value chain of electric vehicle batteries
8.CRITICAL SEMICONDUCTOR MATERIAL RECOVERY
8.1.1.Semiconductor material recovery - Chapter overview
8.1.2.Critical semiconductor materials: Introduction
8.1.3.Critical semiconductor materials: Rising demand and supply chain challenges
8.1.4.Critical semiconductors: Applications and recycling rates
8.2.Electronic waste (e-waste)
8.2.1.E-waste is rapidly accumulating but recycling struggles to keep up
8.2.2.Disparate and low semiconductor content in key applications is prohibiting recovery
8.2.3.Critical semiconductor recovery from e-waste will rely on more effective pre-processing
8.2.4.Recovery of critical semiconductors from e-waste
8.2.5.Established germanium recovery from secondary sources
8.2.6.Business model for critical semiconductor material recovery
8.3.Photovoltaic and solar technologies
8.3.1.Critical semiconductors in photovoltaic panels: Introduction
8.3.2.Critical semiconductors in photovoltaics: Cell stack composition and design
8.3.3.Critical semiconductor recovery from photovoltaics
8.3.4.Silicon recovery technology for crystalline-Si PVs
8.3.5.Tellurium recovery from CdTe thin-film photovoltaics
8.3.6.Solar panel manufacturers and recycling capabilities (I)
8.3.7.Solar panel manufacturers and recycling capabilities (II)
8.4.Market summary and outlook
8.4.1.Conclusions for critical semiconductor material recovery and market outlook
8.4.2.Technology readiness of critical semiconductor recovery technologies
8.4.3.Market drivers, opportunities and barriers for critical semiconductor recovery
8.4.4.Key challenges that must be addressed to unlock the secondary critical semiconductor material stream
9.CRITICAL PLATINUM GROUP METAL RECOVERY
9.1.1.Platinum group metal recovery - Chapter overview
9.1.2.Critical platinum group metals: Introduction
9.1.3.Critical platinum group metals: Supply chain considerations
9.1.4.Global PGM demand and application segmentation
9.1.5.Critical platinum group metals: Applications and recycling rates
9.1.6.Historical PGM price volatility
9.1.7.Historical iridium supply and demand
9.2.PGM recovery from spent automotive catalysts
9.2.1.Critical PGMs in automotive catalysts
9.2.2.Critical PGM recovery from spent automotive catalysts
9.2.3.Global recovery of platinum, palladium and rhodium from automotive scrap
9.2.4.Key global automotive catalyst recycling players
9.3.9PGM recovery from hydrogen electrolyzers and fuel cells
9.3.1.Critical metals for the hydrogen economy
9.3.2.Proton exchange membrane electrolyzer materials & components
9.3.3.Green hydrogen's influence on critical materials
9.3.4.Importance of technological advancements & PGM recycling
9.3.5.Challenges in transitioning to new PEMEL catalysts and the role of PGM recycling
9.3.6.Recovering critical PGMs from catalyst coated membranes (CCMs)
9.3.7.Recycling of critical PGMs from fuel cell catalysts
9.3.8.Key suppliers of catalysts for fuel cells
9.4.Market summary and outlook
9.4.1.Critical PGM recovery: Conclusions and outlook
9.4.2.Technology readiness of critical PGM recovery from secondary sources
9.4.3.Opportunities and threats to growth for critical PGM recovery
9.4.4.What valuable lessons from the LIB & EV industries can be applied to PGM recovery from hydrogen technology
10.COMPANY PROFILES
10.1.Accurec Recycling GmbH
10.2.ACE Green Recycling
10.3.Ascend Elements
10.4.Australian Strategic Materials Ltd (ASM)
10.5.Ballard Power Systems
10.6.Carester (Caremag)
10.7.Cirba Solutions
10.8.Exigo Recycling
10.9.First Solar
10.10.Fortum
10.11.Heraeus: Catalysts for the Hydrogen Economy
10.12.HyProMag Ltd
10.13.Li-Cycle
10.14.Librec
10.15.Lithium Australia
10.16.Lohum
10.17.Noveon Magnetics
10.18.OnTo Technology
10.19.POSCO (Battery Recycling)
10.20.Primobius
10.21.RecycLiCo
10.22.SungEel Hi-Tech
10.23.Toledo Solar
10.24.Umicore
10.25.Veolia (Battery Recycling)
 

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Secondary source critical material recovery market to exceed a value of US$110 billion by 2045.

Report Statistics

Slides 251
Forecasts to 2045
 

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